模糊集值统计理论在灭火救援指挥效能评估中的应用

在建立评估指标体系的基础上,将模糊集值统计理论应用于灭火救援指挥效能评估中。该理论方法改变了以往统计给出一个固定值的做法,而给出一个区间值,使某些具有模糊性和随机性的评估指标权值的确定更加符合实际情况。实例研究表明:该方法克服了经典统计法的不足,提高了效能评估的实用性和科学性。     

高可靠性软件的极值统计分析

提出了极值统计分析的方法.对于失效数据极值分布函数的拟合检验,采用了相关系数法;对于母体分布的参数估计,则分别采用了最小二乘估计(LSE)和极大似然估计(MLE);最后通过一个实例说明了统计过程,并用模拟的方法证明了最小二乘估计较好.     

采用副载波参考波形方法的GNSS双载波环多径抑制技术

为了实现对高阶二进制偏移载波(BOC)信号的无模糊和抗多径接收,将码相关参考波形的闸波设计思路应用于GNSS双载波环路接收方法的副载波锁相环。在副载波锁相环中引入设计的闸波参与信号的相干积分过程,使双载波环法具备抗多径性能且不需要额外引入相关器。对该设计方法的理论和具体实现进行阐述和分析,从副载波多径误差包络和跟踪精度两方面对改进的双载波环路方法性能进行评估。仿真结果显示,采用的算法与双载波环路法相比,可以降低BOC(1,1)信号81.1%的副载波多径误差包络面积以及BOC(14,2)信号75.1%的副载波多径误差包络面积。但是,改进的双载波环路法会带来-6 dB的相干积分后载噪比损失,降低跟踪精度。因此,在闸波参数设计上,需要谨慎选择以平衡算法的多径抑制和跟踪精度性能。综合来看,该方法适用于解决非弱信号条件下及多径环境下的高阶BOC信号接收问题。     

Technical note – operational statistics: Properties and the risk‐averse case

Consider a repeated newsvendor problem for managing the inventory of perishable products. When the parameter of the demand distribution is unknown, it has been shown that the traditional separated estimation and optimization (SEO) approach could lead to suboptimality. To address this issue, an integrated approach called operational statistics (OS) was developed by Chu et al., Oper Res Lett 36 (2008) 110–116. In this note, we first study the properties of this approach and compare its performance with that of the traditional SEO approach. It is shown that OS is consistent and superior to SEO. The benefit of using OS is larger when the demand variability is higher. We then generalize OS to the risk‐averse case under the conditional value‐at‐risk (CVaR) criterion. To model risk from both demand sampling and future demand uncertainty, we introduce a new criterion, called the total CVaR, and find the optimal OS under this new criterion. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 206–214, 2015     

Variables inspection for SPC‐quarantined production

When a control chart signals an out‐of‐control condition for a production process, it may be desirable to “quarantine” all units produced since the last in‐control SPC sample. This paper presents an efficient procedure for variables inspection of such “SPC quarantined” product. A Bayesian sequential inspection procedure is developed which determines whether the out of control production is of acceptable quality. By inspecting the units in reverse of the order in which they were produced, the procedure is also capable of detecting the point at which the process went out of control, thus eliminating the need to inspect units produced prior to the onset of the out of control condition. Numerical examples are presented, and the performance characteristics of the procedure are demonstrated using Monte Carlo simulation. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 159–171, 2001     

Convolutions and generalization of logconcavity: Implications and applications

Additive convolution of unimodal and α‐unimodal random variables are known as an old classic problem which has attracted the attention of many authors in theory and applied fields. Another type of convolution, called multiplicative convolution, is rather younger. In this article, we first focus on this newer concept and obtain several useful results in which the most important ones is that if is logconcave then so are and for some suitable increasing functions ?. This result contains and as two more important special cases. Furthermore, one table including more applied distributions comparing logconcavity of f(x) and and two comprehensive implications charts are provided. Then, these fundamental results are applied to aging properties, existence of moments and several kinds of ordered random variables. Multiplicative strong unimodality in the discrete case is also introduced and its properties are investigated. In the second part of the article, some refinements are made for additive convolutions. A remaining open problem is completed and a conjecture concerning convolution of discrete α‐unimodal distributions is settled. Then, we shall show that an existing result regarding convolution of symmetric discrete unimodal distributions is not correct and an easy alternative proof is presented. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 109–123, 2016     

单兵模拟射击训练的数据统计方法研究

提出了对单兵模拟射击训练系统射击数据的新统计方法。该方法针对射击需要，在初步的数据统计后，利用统计学理论，针对性地设计了射击数据二次处理统计指标。新的统计指标不仅使射击训练水平更加精确高效，同时使射击指挥更加科学合理。     

火灾统计失实问题的现状及对策

以四川省为例介绍火灾统计失实的情况 ,并分析火灾统计失实问题的原因 ,提出纠正火灾统计失实问题的工作意见。     

Signature based analysis of m‐Consecutive‐k‐out‐of‐n: F systems with exchangeable components

In this article, we study reliability properties of m‐consecutive‐k‐out‐of‐n: F systems with exchangeable components. We deduce exact formulae and recurrence relations for the signature of the system. Closed form expressions for the survival function and the lifetime distribution as a mixture of the distribution of order statistics are established as well. These representations facilitate the computation of several reliability characteristics of the system for a given exchangeable joint distribution or survival function. Finally, we provide signature‐based stochastic ordering results for the system's lifetime and investigate the IFR preservation property under the formulation of m‐consecutive‐k‐out‐of‐n: F systems. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

基于方差分析的RSA计时攻击

结合差分统计分析方法,引入方差分析假设检验,提出一种可行的计时攻击算法,并针对RSA算法的软件应用进行攻击实验。实验结果表明,该攻击算法不仅比传统攻击方式具有更高的可行性,而且能够适用于不同密钥长度的攻击。